Theory: War for Arcadia Outcome

Current Agendas in the War for Arcadia:
 * Akuba - End the Civil War
 * Eridon - Survival
 * Drekis - Redeploy Defensively
 * Mistrya - Recapture all lost territory.
 * Sylvas - Keep the Status Quo
 * Mahtava - ???
 * Gadia - Firmly Reestablish the Kingdom

How does the Akuban Civil War end?
If the Eastern Block had been knocked out of the fight, the North and West Blocks would have been at an impasse. North Block has the fleet but the West Block has the ground forces. A compromise would have had to be reached, or something significant will have to happen to turn the tide in favor of one or the other.

With the Eastern Block in the Civil War still helps the Western Block. The Eastern Block has been hitting the Northern Faction targets (Sairo & Pike's Point).


 * Prediction: Eastern Block Wins

How does Drekkis vs Mistrya end without intervention from PCs
As of September 1511, Scoria is out of the fight for a little, giving Drekis some breathing room, but half their forces are stuck inside a siege in Dawngate, and the other half are siegeing Old Vodan. The bridge at Bridge Gate is gone, thanks to Scoria, but Drekis has a new bridge in Bon' Theris.

Drekkis, as it stands, will be forced to retreat out of Mistrya and Mistrya will seize back Dawngate and the East Vodan Plains.

River Vodan will prevent Mistrya pushing further yet. It'll take time, but Mistrya will eventually go after Bon' Theris and their bridge. If Mistrya takes Bon' Theris, this is their beach head into inner-Drekis. (and this is without Scoria backup)


 * Prediction: Drekis will be forced to pull out of Mistrya and will have to defend hard from the counter invasion.

What happens to Eridon?
Count Vicious will likely seize all the "City State" northern towns (Bluecliff, Confluence, Highcastle & Meadstead) and bring them back into the fold.

What I don't know if Count Vicious stays loyal to Stromheim or not.If he stays loyal, I expect him to then go after Wake County (Hillsborough, Clydesdale, Rockwave, Redport) and put them back in line. That is unless the Voraci forces have finally arrived in Wake County.

If Count Vicious isn't loyal, he'll take Stromheim, which will be costly because of these defences.

The Demons stay in Heatstroke for now, as their creep expands 25 miles in every direction a year. The Demons have time to wait for now, and have repelled every attempt to stop them.

Dwarf County is pretty ruined. Mil Faldur was crushed by Cyclopses, Count Vicious attacked Tharnham. Zweihard's brother got half the fighting forces killed in the war against the goblins. Also there are some Grell doing stuff.